Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Statistics. Show all posts

Monday, July 23, 2007

4 out of 5 people think David Brooks is a moron

But then I just made up those numbers:

Yesterday, Media Matters observed that on this week’s Meet the Press, New York Times columnist David Brooks admitted to using a made-up statistic in order to argue against withdrawal from Iraq.

Specifically, Brooks rehashed the right-wing talking point that withdrawal in Iraq would certainly lead to “genocide,” alleging that 10,000 Iraqis a month would die after redeployment. But Washington Post reporter Bob Woodward quickly forced Brooks’ to admit his statistics were baseless:

BOB WOODWARD: I mean, you cite numbers which you have pulled out of the air of 10,000 dying. I mean, that’s–that–where does that come from? […]

DAVID BROOKS: So I just picked that 10,000 out of the air.

So... can anyone do this?

Less than 3 people think Bush is a genius.

(This is fun!)

Saturday, July 14, 2007

You can make statistics

Say whatever you want them to say. The Bush administration excels at this. So, apparently, does the Wall Street Journal:

Mark Thoma at Economist's View says:
The Wall Street Journal says Kevin Hassett has discovered the Laffer curve, but I think these data might say something else. Here's the picture from the editorial where they are making their usual plea for more tax cuts:
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The blue line is supposed to be the Laffer curve, but this is far from compelling. Since it looks like all that's been done here is to draw a line through an outlier, Norway (an outlier that in other contexts we are told to ignore because it is an outlier, e.g. see below), and since this is clearly not the best fitting line to these data, here's another possibility:
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More discussion at PZ Myers at Pharyngula, Sean at Cosmic Variance, and Brad DeLong.